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1

A model-tested North Atlantic Oscillation reconstruction for the past millennium

Ortega, Pablo, Lehner, Flavio, Swingedouw, Didier, Masson-Delmotte, Valerie, Raible, Christoph C., Casado, Mathieu, Yiou, Pascal

Journal:

Year:

2015

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 4.08 MB

english, 2015

2

Testing the robustness of a precipitation proxy-based North Atlantic Oscillation reconstruction

Flavio Lehner, Christoph C. Raible, Thomas F. Stocker

Journal:

Quaternary Science Reviews

Year:

2012

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 3.83 MB

english, 2012

3

Projected increases and shifts in rain-on-snow flood risk over western North America

Musselman, Keith N., Lehner, Flavio, Ikeda, Kyoko, Clark, Martyn P., Prein, Andreas F., Liu, Changhai, Barlage, Mike, Rasmussen, Roy

Journal:

Nature Climate Change

Year:

2018

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.90 MB

english, 2018

4

The freshwater balance of polar regions in transient simulations from 1500 to 2100 AD using a comprehensive coupled climate model

Flavio Lehner, Christoph C. Raible, Dominik Hofer, Thomas F. Stocker

Journal:

Climate Dynamics

Year:

2012

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.79 MB

english, 2012

5

From the Medieval Climate Anomaly to the Little Ice Age: a comparative perspective on the dynamics in proxy and model results

Journal:

Quaternary International

Year:

2012

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 41 KB

english, 2012

6

Amplified Inception of European Little Ice Age by Sea Ice–Ocean–Atmosphere Feedbacks

Lehner, Flavio, Born, Andreas, Raible, Christoph C., Stocker, Thomas F.

Journal:

Journal of Climate

Year:

2013

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 4.66 MB

english, 2013

7

From local perception to global perspective

Lehner, Flavio, Stocker, Thomas F.

Journal:

Nature Climate Change

Year:

2015

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 635 KB

english, 2015

8

A new ensemble of GCM simulations to assess avoided impacts in a climate mitigation scenario

Sanderson, Benjamin M., Oleson, Keith W., Strand, Warren G., Lehner, Flavio, O’Neill, Brian C.

Journal:

Climatic Change

Year:

2015

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.57 MB

english, 2015

9

Future risk of record-breaking summer temperatures and its mitigation

Lehner, Flavio, Deser, Clara, Sanderson, Benjamin M.

Journal:

Climatic Change

Year:

2016

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 3.04 MB

english, 2016

10

Intensification of tropical Pacific biological productivity due to volcanic eruptions

Chikamoto, Megumi O., Timmermann, Axel, Yoshimori, Masakazu, Lehner, Flavio, Laurian, Audine, Abe-Ouchi, Ayako, Mouchet, Anne, Joos, Fortunat, Raible, Christoph C., Cobb, Kim M.

Journal:

Geophysical Research Letters

Year:

2016

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 2.99 MB

english, 2016

11

The importance of ENSO phase during volcanic eruptions for detection and attribution

Lehner, Flavio, Schurer, Andrew P., Hegerl, Gabriele C., Deser, Clara, Frölicher, Thomas L.

Journal:

Geophysical Research Letters

Year:

2016

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 531 KB

english, 2016

12

Assessing recent declines in Upper Rio Grande River runoff efficiency from a paleoclimate perspective

Lehner, Flavio, Wahl, Eugene R., Wood, Andrew W., Blatchford, Douglas B., Llewellyn, Dagmar

Journal:

Geophysical Research Letters

Year:

2017

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.18 MB

english, 2017

13

Does extreme precipitation intensity depend on the emissions scenario?

Pendergrass, Angeline G., Lehner, Flavio, Sanderson, Benjamin M., Xu, Yangyang

Journal:

Geophysical Research Letters

Year:

2015

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.36 MB

english, 2015

14

Projected drought risk in 1.5°C and 2°C warmer climates

Lehner, Flavio, Coats, Sloan, Stocker, Thomas F., Pendergrass, Angeline G., Sanderson, Benjamin M., Raible, Christoph C., Smerdon, Jason E.

Journal:

Geophysical Research Letters

Year:

2017

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 648 KB

english, 2017

15

The relative contributions of tropical Pacific sea surface temperatures and atmospheric internal variability to the recent global warming hiatus

Deser, Clara, Guo, Ruixia, Lehner, Flavio

Journal:

Geophysical Research Letters

Year:

2017

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.87 MB

english, 2017

16

The Benefits of Reduced Anthropogenic Climate changE (BRACE): a synthesis

O’Neill, Brian C., M. Done, James, Gettelman, Andrew, Lawrence, Peter, Lehner, Flavio, Lamarque, Jean-Francois, Lin, Lei, J. Monaghan, Andrew, Oleson, Keith, Ren, Xiaolin, M. Sanderson, Benjamin, Teba

Journal:

Climatic Change

Year:

2017

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.03 MB

english, 2017

17

Toward a New Estimate of “Time of Emergence” of Anthropogenic Warming: Insights from Dynamical Adjustment and a Large Initial-Condition Model Ensemble

Lehner, Flavio, Deser, Clara, Terray, Laurent

Journal:

Journal of Climate

Year:

2017

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 6.20 MB

english, 2017

18

Removing Circulation Effects to Assess Central US Land-Atmosphere Interactions in the CESM Large Ensemble

Merrifield, Anna, Lehner, Flavio, Xie, Shang-Ping, Deser, Clara

Journal:

Geophysical Research Letters

Year:

2017

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 2.21 MB

english, 2017

19

Mitigating the impacts of climate non-stationarity on seasonal streamflow predictability in the US Southwest

Lehner, Flavio, Wood, Andrew W., Llewellyn, Dagmar, Blatchford, Douglas B., Goodbody, Angus G., Pappenberger, Florian

Journal:

Geophysical Research Letters

Year:

2017

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 881 KB

english, 2017

20

Precipitation variability increases in a warmer climate

Pendergrass, Angeline G., Knutti, Reto, Lehner, Flavio, Deser, Clara, Sanderson, Benjamin M.

Journal:

Scientific Reports

Year:

2017

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 3.69 MB

english, 2017

21

Detecting changes in marine responses to ENSO from 850 to 2100 C.E.: Insights from the ocean carbon cycle

Keller, Kathrin M., Joos, Fortunat, Lehner, Flavio, Raible, Christoph C.

Journal:

Geophysical Research Letters

Year:

2015

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 3.68 MB

english, 2015

22

Attributing the US Southwest's recent shift into drier conditions

Lehner, Flavio, Deser, Clara, Simpson, Isla R., Terray, Laurent

Journal:

Geophysical Research Letters

Year:

2018

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.02 MB

english, 2018

23

DOs and DON'Ts for using climate change information for water resource planning and management: guidelines for study design

Vano, Julie A., Arnold, Jeffrey R., Nijssen, Bart, Clark, Martyn P., Wood, Andrew W., Gutmann, Ethan D., Addor, Nans, Hamman, Joseph, Lehner, Flavio

Journal:

Climate Services

Year:

2018

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 782 KB

english, 2018

24

Community climate simulations to assess avoided impacts in 1.5 and 2 &thinsp;°C futures

Sanderson, Benjamin M., Xu, Yangyang, Tebaldi, Claudia, Wehner, Michael, O&amp, apos, Neill, Brian, Jahn, Alexandra, Pendergrass, Angeline G., Lehner, Flavio, Strand, Warren G., Lin, Lei, Knutti, Reto,

Journal:

Earth System Dynamics

Year:

2017

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 13.61 MB

english, 2017

25

Community Climate Simulations to assess avoided impacts in 1.5&thinsp;&deg;C and 2&thinsp;&deg;C futures

Sanderson, Benjamin M., Xu, Yangyang, Tebaldi, Claudia, Wehner, Michael, O&amp, apos, Neill, Brian, Jahn, Alexandra, Pendergrass, Angeline G., Lehner, Flavio, Strand, Warren G., Lin, Lei, Knutti, Reto,

Journal:

Earth System Dynamics Discussions

Year:

2017

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 11.43 MB

english, 2017

26

Anthropogenic influence on the drivers of the Western Cape drought 2015–2017

Otto, Friederike E L, Wolski, Piotr, Lehner, Flavio, Tebaldi, Claudia, van Oldenborgh, Geert Jan, Hogesteeger, Sanne, Singh, Roop, Holden, Petra, Fučkar, Neven S, Odoulami, Romaric C, New, Mark

Journal:

Environmental Research Letters

Year:

2018

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.19 MB

english, 2018

27

Rapidly declining remarkability of temperature anomalies may obscure public perception of climate change

Moore, Frances C., Obradovich, Nick, Lehner, Flavio, Baylis, Patrick

Journal:

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

Year:

2019

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.29 MB

english, 2019

28

Uncovering the forced climate response from a single ensemble member using statistical learning

Sippel, Sebastian, Meinshausen, Nicolai, Merrifield, Anna, Lehner, Flavio, Pendergrass, Angeline G., Fischer, Erich, Knutti, Reto

Journal:

Journal of Climate

Year:

2019

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 4.71 MB

english, 2019

29

Uncovering the forced climate response from a single ensemble member using statistical learning

Sippel, Sebastian, Meinshausen, Nicolai, Merrifield, Anna, Lehner, Flavio, Pendergrass, Angeline G., Fischer, Erich, Knutti, Reto

Journal:

Journal of Climate

Year:

2019

File:

PDF, 4.71 MB

2019

30

Attribution of the role of climate change in the forest fires in Sweden 2018

Krikken, Folmer, Lehner, Flavio, Haustein, Karsten, Drobyshev, Igor, van Oldenborgh, Geert Jan

Journal:

Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences Discussions

Year:

2019

File:

PDF, 1000 KB

2019

31

On High Precipitation in Mozambique, Zimbabwe and Zambia in February 2018

FuÄkar, Neven Stjepan, Otto, Friederike E.L., Lehner, Flavio, Pinto, Izidine, Sparrow, Sarah, Li, Sihan, Wallom, David

Journal:

Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

Year:

2020

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 8.51 MB

english, 2020

32

Past warming trend constrains future warming in CMIP6 models

Tokarska, Katarzyna B., Stolpe, Martin B., Sippel, Sebastian, Fischer, Erich M., Smith, Christopher J., Lehner, Flavio, Knutti, Reto

Journal:

Science Advances

Year:

2020

File:

PDF, 2.04 MB

2020

33

Revisiting Recent U.S. Heat Waves in a Warmer and More Humid Climate

Rastogi, Deeksha, Lehner, Flavio, Ashfaq, Moetasim

Journal:

Geophysical Research Letters

Year:

2020

File:

PDF, 3.17 MB

2020

34

Time of Emergence & Large Ensemble Intercomparison For Ocean Biogeochemical trends

Schlunegger, Sarah, Rodgers, Keith B., Sarmiento, Jorge L., Ilyina, Tatiana, Dunne, John, Takano, Yohei, Christian, James, Long, Matthew C., FrÃ¶licher, Thomas L., Slater, Richard, Lehner, Flavio

Journal:

Global Biogeochemical Cycles

Year:

2020

File:

PDF, 2.07 MB

2020

35

Robustness of CMIP6 Historical Global Mean Temperature Simulations: Trends, LongâTerm Persistence, Autocorrelation, and Distributional Shape

Papalexiou, Simon Michael, Rajulapati, Chandra Rupa, Clark, Martyn P., Lehner, Flavio

Journal:

Year:

2020

File:

PDF, 1.99 MB

2020

36

The Value of Initial Condition Large Ensembles to Robust Adaptation DecisionâMaking

Mankin, Justin S., Lehner, Flavio, Coats, Sloan, McKinnon, Karen A.

Journal:

Year:

2020

File:

PDF, 5.01 MB

2020